H ere's where Tammy is located today . Hurricane Tammy Key West ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has actually strengthened modestly since Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a cyclone on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has actually become less certain. Tammy was initially expected to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system guidance is now recommending that the storm might wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and exceptionally effective typhoon that caused massive destruction and substantial loss of life. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Hurricane Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest death in Cyclone Katrina was due to flooding brought on by engineering flaws in the flood defense system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, along with large areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone cautions have now been issued for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests typhoon conditions are anticipated in some of these areas. You can see the most recent cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy must spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were occurring over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a cyclone that might bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the hurricane center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Typhoon Tammy-- a Category 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually set off cyclone warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island countries and areas in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a threat to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum continual winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 cyclone was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic given that 1900, according to hurricane professional Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic since 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane specialists formerly cautioned cyclones could form in uncommon locations later on in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major risks and might result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will start to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy